Last Week: 2-4 (-2.18u)
I’m done yammering until I hit some picks.
THE PICKS
Overall: 23-25 (-0.84u). All bets are 1u.
Favorite of the Week (5-3, +1.53u): Iowa at WISCONSIN (-3.5). Unfortunately, this is not a misprint! We are laying points with the Badgers for two weekends in a row. This has been a strange Badgers team to evaluate. The QB play is dismal leading to an uninspiring offense in general, but the defense means business and had Wisconsin not coughed up the ball two dozen times in the rain against Purdue, they would have enjoyed a much bigger win than they already did. Iowa is, of course, gigantic frauds that don’t really have a Plan B when the other team isn’t handing them the ball close to their own end zone every other drive. I don’t anticipate the fumbling issues to continue on a gorgeous day in Madison. Wisconsin 23, Iowa 16
Underdog of the Week (5-3, +1.61u): OLE MISS (+3) at Auburn. After a week of speculation, Matt Corral looked juuuuust fine against LSU and there should be no concerns with him for this week’s primetime tilt against Auburn. On the other side, Bo Nix is coming off a fine performance against Arkansas that included a few dazzling throws. I wouldn’t be surprised if this turns into a shootout, but I think Ole Miss has the firepower to win it outright. Ole Miss 34, Auburn 30
Over of the Week (1-7, -6.09u): Washington at Stanford (OVER 48). Do not bet this pick. Are you insane? I’m just picking the grossest game on the board and seeing if it goes to a billion overtimes. I can’t get a feel on an over to save my life. Are you still reading? Come on. Stanford 90, Washington 88
Under of the Week (4-4, -0.37u): Indiana at Maryland (UNDER 49.5). After being humiliated against Ohio State, I expect Indiana’s defense to rebound against a Maryland offense that can’t really get things going against anyone. On the flip side, I expect to log some snaps at quarterback for the Hoosiers this weekend. The Indiana offense is in a bad, bad place as injuries have piled up at key positions. First to twenty wins. Indiana 20, Maryland 17
Moneyline of the Week (3-5, +0.95u): HAWAII (+175) at Utah State. This newsletter has existed for too long to not throw some dumb money on the Rainbow Warriors. Granted, it’s an afternoon road game so it doesn’t feel as desperate as a late-night island play but that’s ok. Utah State has been scraping by some bad teams as of late, and Hawaii has enough of a pulse to take advantage. Hawaii 33, Utah State 29
One More for the Week (5-3, +1.53u): CINCINNATI (-14.5 1H) at Tulane. The Bearcats found themselves in a dogfight with Navy last week (that they still won) and RIGHT ON CUE here comes the little tidbits about how the playoff committee’s job is to pick the four best teams and all the nonsense they typically drum up to justify why both SEC Championship game participants will get in with Ohio State and Oklahoma. The Bearcats know they can’t just win games. They have to win them BIG and I expect a first half show against a Tulane squad that is getting blown out nearly every week. Cincinnati 41, Tulane 17
People’s Parlay (+1355):
Michigan at Michigan State (UNDER 50)
Miami (+9)
Georgia (-14)
SMU (PK)